California House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony Strickland a 39% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Tony Strickland won, matching the model's top pick.
- Tony Strickland — 39% model odds (won)
- Steve Knight — 28% model odds (won)
- Troy Castagna — 22% model odds
- Navraj Singh — 11% model odds