California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin Donald Fareed a 42% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Justin Donald Fareed won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin Donald Fareed — 42% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Mitchum — 38% model odds (won)
  3. Dale Francisco — 11% model odds
  4. Bradley Allen — 6% model odds
  5. Alexis Stuart — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts