Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Juan Ciscomani a 73% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Juan Ciscomani won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Juan Ciscomani — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Kirsten Engel — 27% model odds
  3. Avery Alexander Thornton — 0% model odds
  4. Frank Bertone — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts