Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kelly Cooper a 67% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Greg Stanton won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Kelly Cooper — 67% model odds
  2. Greg Stanton — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Stephan "Steve" Jones — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts