Arizona House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ruben Gallego a 100% chance of winning the Arizona House 2022 primary. Ruben Gallego won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ruben Gallego — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Zink — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts