California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lois Capps a 44% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Lois Capps won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lois Capps — 44% model odds (won)
2. Paul H., Jr. Coyne — 30% model odds
3. Sandra Marshall — 27% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts