Arkansas Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Boozman a 100% chance of winning the Arkansas Senate 2022 primary. John Boozman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Boozman — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Natalie James — 0% model odds
  3. Kenneth Cates — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts