Arkansas House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Womack a 100% chance of winning the Arkansas House 2022 primary. Steve Womack won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steve Womack — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Lauren Mallett-Hays — 0% model odds
  3. Michael J. Kalagias — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts