Alabama House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dale Strong a 95% chance of winning the Alabama House 2022 primary. Dale Strong won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dale Strong — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Kathy Warner-Stanton — 5% model odds
  3. P.J Greer — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts