California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Mccarthy a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Kevin Mccarthy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Mccarthy — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Biglay — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts