Alabama House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Barry Moore a 65% chance of winning the Alabama House 2022 primary. Barry Moore won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Barry Moore — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Phyllis Harvey-Hall — 35% model odds
  3. Jonathan Realz — 0% model odds
  4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts