Alaska House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sarah Palin a 36% chance of winning the Alaska House 2022 primary. Mary S. Peltola won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Sarah Palin — 36% model odds
- Nick Begich — 36% model odds
- Mary S. Peltola — 28% model odds (won)
- Chris # Bye — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds