West Virginia Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shelley Moore Capito an 88% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2020 primary. Shelley Moore Capito won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Shelley Moore Capito — 88% model odds (won)
2. Paula Jean Swearengin — 12% model odds
3. David Moran — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts