Vermont House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Welch a 100% chance of winning the Vermont House 2020 primary. Peter Welch won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Peter Welch — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Miriam Berry — 0% model odds
  3. Peter R. Becker — 0% model odds
  4. Marcia Horne — 0% model odds
  5. Christopher Helali — 0% model odds
  6. Shawn Orr — 0% model odds
  7. Jerry Trudell — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts