Virginia Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark R. Warner an 87% chance of winning the Virginia Senate 2020 primary. Mark R. Warner won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark R. Warner — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Daniel M. Gade — 13% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts