Virginia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald S., Jr. Beyer a 95% chance of winning the Virginia House 2020 primary. Donald S., Jr. Beyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald S., Jr. Beyer — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff A. Jordan — 5% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts