Virginia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Abigail A. Spanberger a 69% chance of winning the Virginia House 2020 primary. Abigail A. Spanberger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Abigail A. Spanberger — 69% model odds (won)
  2. Nick J. Freitas — 31% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts