Virginia House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Elaine G. Luria a 50% chance of winning the Virginia House 2020 primary. Elaine G. Luria won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Elaine G. Luria — 50% model odds (won)
2. Scott W. Taylor — 50% model odds
3. David Bruce Foster — 0% model odds
4. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts