Texas Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Cornyn a 39% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2020 primary. John Cornyn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Cornyn — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Mary "Mj" Hegar — 30% model odds
  3. David B. Collins — 30% model odds
  4. Kerry Douglas Mckennon — 0% model odds
  5. Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts