Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony Gonzales a 74% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Tony Gonzales won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tony Gonzales — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Gina Ortiz Jones — 26% model odds
  3. Beto Villela — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts