Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Troy Nehls an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Troy Nehls won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Troy Nehls — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Sri Preston Kulkarni — 13% model odds
  3. Joseph, Jr. Leblanc — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts