Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tommy Wakely a 58% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Chip Roy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Tommy Wakely — 58% model odds
  2. Chip Roy — 42% model odds (won)
  3. Wendy R. Davis — 0% model odds
  4. Arthur Dibianca — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts