California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amanda Renteria a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Amanda Renteria won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Amanda Renteria — 50% model odds (won)
2. John S. Hernandez — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts