Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave August Pfluger a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. August Pfluger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. August Pfluger — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jon Mark Hogg — 5% model odds
  3. Wacey Alpha Cody — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts