Texas House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lizzie Fletcher an 88% chance of winning the Texas House 2020 primary. Lizzie Fletcher won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lizzie Fletcher — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Wesley Hunt — 12% model odds
  3. Shawn Kelly — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts