Tennessee House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Kustoff a 95% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2020 primary. David Kustoff won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Kustoff — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Erika Stotts Pearson — 5% model odds
  3. James Hart — 0% model odds
  4. Jon Dillard — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts