California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Zoe Lofgren a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Zoe Lofgren won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Zoe Lofgren — 50% model odds (won)
2. Robert Murray — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts