Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Conor Lamb an 83% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Conor Lamb won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Conor Lamb — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Sean Parnell — 17% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts