Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Guy Reschenthaler a 62% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Guy Reschenthaler won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Guy Reschenthaler — 62% model odds (won)
  2. Bill Marx — 38% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts