Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matthew Alton Cartwright an 82% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Matthew Alton Cartwright won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Matthew Alton Cartwright — 82% model odds (won)
  2. Jim Bognet — 18% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts