Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lisa Scheller a 56% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Susan Wild won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Lisa Scheller — 56% model odds
  2. Susan Wild — 44% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts