Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary Gay Scanlon an 89% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Mary Gay Scanlon won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary Gay Scanlon — 89% model odds (won)
  2. Dasha Pruett — 11% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts