Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Madeleine Dean a 67% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Madeleine Dean won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Madeleine Dean — 67% model odds (won)
  2. Kathy Barnette — 33% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts