Pennsylvania House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christina M. Finello an 88% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2020 primary. Brian Fitzpatrick won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Christina M. Finello — 88% model odds
  2. Brian Fitzpatrick — 12% model odds (won)
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts