Oregon Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Rae Perkins a 42% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2020 primary. Jeff Merkley won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Joe Rae Perkins — 42% model odds
- Ibrahim A. Taher — 42% model odds
- Jeff Merkley — 16% model odds (won)
- Gary Dye — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds