Oregon House 2020 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alek Skarlatos an 81% chance of winning the Oregon House 2020 primary. Peter Defazio won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Alek Skarlatos — 81% model odds
- Peter Defazio — 19% model odds (won)
- Daniel Hoffay — 0% model odds
- Scattered — 0% model odds