California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Johnny Tacherra a 55% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Johnny Tacherra won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Johnny Tacherra — 55% model odds (won)
2. Mel Levey — 19% model odds
3. Steve Crass — 13% model odds (won)
4. Joanna Garcia-Botelho — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts