New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris # Jacobs a 39% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Chris # Jacobs won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris # Jacobs — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Chris # Jacobs — 39% model odds
  3. Chris Jacobs — 11% model odds
  4. Nathan D. Mcmurray — 11% model odds
  5. Nathan D. Mcmurray — 0% model odds
  6. Duane J. Whitmer — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts