New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joseph D. Morelle a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Joseph D. Morelle won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joseph D. Morelle — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Joseph D. Morelle — 50% model odds
  3. Joseph D. Morelle — 0% model odds
  4. George # Mitris — 0% model odds
  5. George Mitris — 0% model odds
  6. Kevin A. Wilson — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts