New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Patrick Maloney a 50% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Sean Patrick Maloney won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sean Patrick Maloney — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Sean Patrick Maloney — 50% model odds
  3. Sean Patrick Maloney — 0% model odds
  4. Chele C. Farley — 0% model odds
  5. Chele C. Farley — 0% model odds
  6. Scott A. Smith — 0% model odds
  7. Scott A. Smith — 0% model odds
  8. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts