New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jamaal Bowman a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Jamaal Bowman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jamaal Bowman — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Patrick Mcmanus — 0% model odds
  3. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts