New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 100% model odds (won)
  2. John C. Cummings — 0% model odds
  3. John C. Cummings — 0% model odds
  4. Michelle Caruso-Cabrera — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts