New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adriano Espaillat a 100% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Adriano Espaillat won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Adriano Espaillat — 100% model odds (won)
  2. Adriano Espaillat — 0% model odds
  3. Lovelynn Gwinn — 0% model odds
  4. Christopher Morris-Perry — 0% model odds
  5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts