New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathleen M. Rice an 86% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Kathleen M. Rice won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kathleen M. Rice — 86% model odds (won)
2. Douglas L. Tuman — 5% model odds
3. Douglas L. Tuman — 5% model odds
4. Joseph R. Naham — 5% model odds
5. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts