New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas R. Suozzi a 47% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Thomas R. Suozzi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thomas R. Suozzi — 47% model odds (won)
  2. Thomas R. Suozzi — 47% model odds
  3. George A.D. Santos — 3% model odds
  4. George A.D. Santos — 3% model odds
  5. Thomas R. # Suozzi — 0% model odds
  6. Howard Rabin — 0% model odds
  7. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts