New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Andrew R. Garbarino a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Andrew R. Garbarino won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Andrew R. Garbarino — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Andrew R. Garbarino — 33% model odds
  3. Harry R. Burger — 33% model odds
  4. Andrew R. Garbarino — 0% model odds
  5. Andrew R. Garbarino — 0% model odds
  6. Jackie Gordon — 0% model odds
  7. Jackie Gordon — 0% model odds
  8. Jackie Gordon — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts