California House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Swalwell a 50% chance of winning the California House 2014 primary. Eric Swalwell won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eric Swalwell — 50% model odds (won)
2. Ellen M. Corbett — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts