New York House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lee M. Zeldin a 34% chance of winning the New York House 2020 primary. Lee M. Zeldin won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lee M. Zeldin — 34% model odds (won)
2. Lee M. Zeldin — 34% model odds
3. Lee M. Zeldin — 16% model odds
4. Nancy S. Goroff — 16% model odds
5. Nancy S. # Goroff — 0% model odds
6. Scattered — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts