New Mexico Senate 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ben R. Lujan a 94% chance of winning the New Mexico Senate 2020 primary. Ben R. Lujan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ben R. Lujan — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Mark V. Ronchetti — 6% model odds
  3. Bob Walsh — 0% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts