New Mexico House 2020 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Teresa Leger Fernandez a 95% chance of winning the New Mexico House 2020 primary. Teresa Leger Fernandez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Teresa Leger Fernandez — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Alexis M. Johnson — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts